Heat Pump Shipments Up 6% in Early 2026

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Heat Pump Shipments Up 6% in Early 2026

The Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute reported on July 7 that heat pump shipments rose 6% in the first four months of 2026 compared to the same period in 2025. The data suggests shipments are now running at an annualized rate of 4.03 million units, up 10.2% from the previous 12 months. This marks a reversal after several months of declining growth rates in the heat pump market.

The uptick means more replacement and new installation jobs should be hitting your market as inventory moves through distribution.

Review your heat pump inventory levels and supplier lead times now. This can help you avoid getting caught short if this growth trend continues through summer.

Key Takeaways:

  • Heat pump shipments up 6% January through April 2026 versus 2025
  • Current annualized shipment rate projected at 4.03 million units
  • First sign of recovery after months of declining growth rates

Source: Air-Conditioning, Heating, and Refrigeration Institute (AHRI)

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